Madison Keys vs Jasmine Paolini Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs J. Paolini
Madison Keys
USA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
30
Age
29
1.78m
Height
-
7
C. Rank
8
5
Best Rank
4
11
Total Titles
3
2
YTD Titles
1
$20.8M
Career Money
$8.5M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
30
Age
29
1.78m
Height
-
7
C. Rank
8
5
Best Rank
4
11
Total Titles
3
2
YTD Titles
1
$20.8M
Career Money
$8.5M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Keys 1 - 1 Paolini
They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 3 and Jasmine Paolini winning 1. The last match between Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 07-07-2024, Round: R4, Surface: Grass, with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret..
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Keys | 1 |
| Paolini | 1 |
Last 3 H2H Matches:
(R4) Wimbledon - London(07-07-24)
Jasmine Paolini
6
6
5
Madison Keys
3
7
5
(R2) Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal(08-09-23)
Jasmine Paolini
w/o
Madison Keys
(R1) Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai(02-19-23)
Madison Keys
6
6
Jasmine Paolini
1
1
M. Keys vs J. Paolini H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $20,819,148 | Career Prize Money | $8,519,140 |
| 64.27% (421-234) | Career Total W/L | 59.76% (444-299) |
| 0 | Grass | 1 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 14 | Titles | 14 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 1 |
| 71.15% (37-15) | YTD Win/Loss | 68.66% (46-21) |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 1 |
M. Keys vs J. Paolini Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 40.91% of points on their second serve, while Jasmine Paolini has won 42.54%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 49.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jasmine Paolini has won 48.54%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.81% and 33.33% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 55.90% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jasmine Paolini has saved 48.26% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 71.15% of matches played (W/L 37/15), with Jasmine Paolini winning 68.66% (W/L 46/21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17). Jasmine Paolini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 226/127), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 17/18).
- Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8), where as Jasmine Paolini has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.42% of matches (W/L 26/12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Madison Keys winning 1 times and Jasmine Paolini being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 3 and Jasmine Paolini winning 1.
- The last match between Madison Keys and Jasmine Paolini was at the Wimbledon - London, 07-07-2024, Round: R4, Surface: Grass, with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret..
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:38.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 118.29 while Jasmine Paolini has played against players with an average rank of 59.85.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jasmine Paolini has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 38.35% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jasmine Paolini has converted 36.64% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Madison Keys vs Jasmine Paolini Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
M. Keys vs J. Paolini H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 3 | Sets Won | 1 |
| 27 | Games Won | 19 |
| 11 | Aces (Total) | 2 |
| 4 | Total Double Faults | 6 |
| 1:41:38 | Average Match Time | 1:41:38 |
| 70% (110/158) | 1st Serve % | 70% (110/158) |
| 58% (64/110) | 1st Serve Win % | 57% (63/110) |
| 50% (24/48) | 2nd Serve Win % | 35% (17/48) |
| 63% (12/19) | Break Pts Won % | 50% (8/16) |
| 49% (78/158) | Return Points Win % | 44% (70/158) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Keys 47%, Paolini 49%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Keys 54%, Paolini 55%.
Break Points Saved %: Keys 58%, Paolini 55%.
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R1  Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R4  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3  Aoi ItoA. Ito | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||
J. Paolini Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula | L | 6-2 6-3 | ||
Robin Cori GauffC. Gauff | L | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Aryna SabalenkaA. Sabalenka | L | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Ningbo Open - Ningbo - 13-10-2025 | ||||
SF Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-3 6-2 | ||
QF  Belinda BencicB. Bencic | W | 5-7 7-5 6-3 | ||
M. Keys vs J. Paolini Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64.27% (421/234) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.76% (444/299) |
| 62.25% (935/567) | Sets Win/Loss | 56.29% (980/761) |
| 54.63% (7694/6389) | Games Win/Loss | 52.33% (8348/7606) |
| 64.12% (252/141) | Hard Win/Loss | 58.56% (154/109) |
| 64.47% (98/54) | Clay Win/Loss | 64.02% (226/127) |
| 50.00% (17/17) | Indoor Hard W/L | 51.09% (47/45) |
| 71.05% (54/22) | Grass Win/Loss | 48.57% (17/18) |
| 0.42 | Aces Per Game | 0.07 |
| 2893 | Aces Total | 565 |
| 0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.17 |
| 1416 | Total Double Faults | 1331 |
| 1:19:25 | Average Match Time | 1:15:35 |
| 353.79 | Average Opponent Rank | 390.89 |
| 63% (25508/40424) | 1st Serve % | 65% (27287/41869) |
| 69% (17495/25508) | 1st Serve Win % | 60% (16300/27287) |
| 48% (7162/14899) | 2nd Serve Win % | 47% (6854/14578) |
| 44% (2121/4838) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 48% (2470/5133) |
| 43% (18091/41631) | Return Points Win % | 46% (18631/40731) |
| 70.86% (124/51) | Slam W/L | 51.39% (37/35) |
| 55.77% (116/92) | Masters W/L | 57.01% (61/46) |
| 44.44% (4/5) | Cups W/L | 57.89% (11/8) |
| 66.32% (126/64) | Main Tour W/L | 55.15% (107/87) |
| 64.91% (37/20) | Challenger W/L | 64.36% (177/98) |
| 87.50% (14/2) | Futures W/L | 67.11% (51/25) |
| 65% (417/643) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 59% (433/732) |
| 25% (1/4) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 100% (3/3) |
| 58% (102/177) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 55% (82/150) |
| 53% (104/197) | Deciding Set Win % | 61% (159/262) |
| 87% (426/369) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 86% (400/344) |
| 13% (426/56) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 14% (400/55) |
| 22% (229/51) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 28% (342/95) |
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