Madison Keys vs Jasmine Paolini Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Keys vs J. Paolini

Madison Keys

USA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$8.1M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-Handed

Jasmine Paolini

ITA

1

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

1.78m

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$20.8M

Career Money

$8.1M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Keys 1 - 1 Paolini

They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 3 and Jasmine Paolini winning 1. The last match between Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 07-07-2024, Round: R4, Surface: Grass, with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret..

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Keys	1
Paolini	1

Last H2H Matches:

(R4) Wimbledon - London(07-07-24)

Stats

Jasmine Paolini

Madison Keys

(R2) Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal(08-09-23)

Stats

Jasmine Paolini

w/o

Madison Keys

(R1) Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai(02-19-23)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jasmine Paolini

M. Keys vs J. Paolini H2H Profile

M. Keys	Stats	J. Paolini
$20,819,148	Career Prize Money	$8,090,965
64.47% (421-232)	Career Total W/L	59.81% (436-293)
0	Grass	1
1	Hard	0
14	Titles	14
1	Total H2H Matches	1
74.00% (37-13)	YTD Win/Loss	71.70% (38-15)
2	YTD Titles	1

M. Keys vs J. Paolini Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Madison Keys has won 42.20% of points on their second serve, while Jasmine Paolini has won 42.95%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Madison Keys, in recent form, has won 48.96% of their opponent's second serve points, while Jasmine Paolini has won 48.30%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.53% and 34.63% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Madison Keys has saved 56.27% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Jasmine Paolini has saved 47.72% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Madison Keys has won 72.22% of matches played (W/L 39/ 15), with Jasmine Paolini winning 68.75% (W/L 39/ 20) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 71% (W/L 54/ 22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Jasmine Paolini has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 226/ 127), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 17/ 18).
Player level: In the last year, Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 16/ 8), where as Jasmine Paolini has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.57% of matches (W/L 24/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Madison Keys winning 1 times and Jasmine Paolini being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Madison Keys winning 3 and Jasmine Paolini winning 1. The last match between Jasmine Paolini and Madison Keys was at the Wimbledon - London, 07-07-2024, Round: R4, Surface: Grass, with Jasmine Paolini getting the victory 6-3 6-7(6) 5-5 ret..
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:41:38.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Madison Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 47.96 while Jasmine Paolini has played against players with an average rank of 59.91.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Madison Keys has won 75% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Jasmine Paolini has won 65% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Madison Keys has converted 36.36% of breakpoint opportunities, and Jasmine Paolini has converted 40.91% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Madison Keys vs Jasmine Paolini Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Keys vs J. Paolini H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Keys	Stats	J. Paolini
1	H2H Matches Won	1
3	Sets Won	1
27	Games Won	19
11	Aces (Total)	2
4	Total Double Faults	6
1:41:38	Avg. Match Time	1:41:38
70% (110/158)	1st Serve %	70% (110/158)
58% (64/110)	1st Serve Win %	57% (63/110)
50% (24/48)	2nd Serve Win %	35% (17/48)
63% (12/19)	Break Pts Won %	50% (8/16)
49% (78/158)	Return Pts Won %	44% (70/158)
100% (1/1)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won → Match Won	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	0% (0/1)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

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J. Paolini Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals - 15-09-2025
Rubber 2 Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula	W	6-4 6-2	Stats
Rubber 2 Elina SvitolinaE. Svitolina	W	3-6 6-4 6-4	Stats
Rubber 2 Xinyu WangX. Wang	W	4-6 7-6(4) 6-4	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R3 Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova	L	7-6(4) 6-1	Stats
R2 Iva JovicI. Jovic	W	6-3 6-3	Stats

View All

M. Keys vs J. Paolini Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Keys	Stats	J. Paolini
64.47% (421/232)	YTD Win/Loss	59.81% (436/293)
62.39% (934/563)	Sets Win/Loss	56.35% (963/746)
54.70% (7680/6361)	Games Win/Loss	52.34% (8201/7468)
64.12% (252/141)	Hard Win/Loss	57.94% (146/106)
64.47% (98/54)	Clay Win/Loss	64.02% (226/127)
53.13% (17/15)	Indoor Hard W/L	52.81% (47/42)
71.05% (54/22)	Grass Win/Loss	48.57% (17/18)
0.42	Aces Per Game	0.07
2887	Aces Total	551
0.2	Double Faults Per Game	0.17
1397	Total Double Faults	1317
1:19:25	Average Match Time	1:15:9
347.43	Average Opponent Rank	386.34
63% (25438/40308)	1st Serve %	65% (26603/40884)
69% (17455/25438)	1st Serve Win %	60% (15885/26603)
48% (7145/14853)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (6707/14277)
44% (2116/4827)	Break Points Won % (Total)	48% (2419/5024)
43% (18047/41504)	Return Points Win %	46% (18248/39854)
70.86% (124/51)	Slam W/L	51.39% (37/35)
56.31% (116/90)	Masters W/L	57.29% (55/41)
44.44% (4/5)	Cups W/L	57.89% (11/8)
66.32% (126/64)	Main Tour W/L	54.97% (105/86)
64.91% (37/20)	Challenger W/L	64.36% (177/98)
87.50% (14/2)	Futures W/L	67.11% (51/25)
65% (417/641)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	59% (426/719)
25% (1/4)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	100% (2/2)
58% (102/177)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	54% (81/149)
53% (104/196)	Deciding Set Win %	61% (157/259)
87% (425/369)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (394/339)
13% (425/55)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	14% (394/54)
22% (228/51)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	28% (334/92)